After the crowded Jersey City primary, the next mayoral chapter may not be written by the top two contenders. With James Solomon and Jim McGreevey heading to a runoff, those who fell just short may still exert much influence. In a city known for coalition politics, the influence of Bill O’Dea, Mussab Ali, and Joyce Watterman could prove decisive in determining the balance of power.

Former Governor Jim McGreevey is seeking political redemption two decades after his resignation. He had a mighty war chest, and captured 25.1% of the vote, a surprise considering his early politicking and boots-on-the-ground approach should have garnered more support. Progressive councilman James Solomon led with 29.2%. spouting progressive ideals that played well with his Ward E, downtown constituents. But combined, the losing candidates represent nearly half of all ballots cast — a reservoir of influence is left that could redirect the race’s trajectory.

Bill O’Dea, the veteran county commissioner with 21.5%, holds perhaps the largest share of transferable support. His base among traditional Democratic loyalists and working-class voters could easily blend with McGreevey’s centrist appeal. An O’Dea endorsement could give McGreevey the credibility — and voter machinery — to close Solomon’s lead.

Mussab Ali, the 27-year-old former Board of Education president who earned 18.3%, galvanized younger, diverse, and reform-minded residents. His alliance would likely benefit Solomon, who already commands Jersey City’s progressive flank. Together, they could form a generational coalition favoring transparency, affordable housing, and clean government, but will a developer really do what they say?

Joyce Watterman, the City Council president and sole woman in the race, drew nearly 4%. Her endorsement carries weight within the African-American community, and as a minister, she holds sway with many faith-based communities. She could become the bridge between establishment figures and grassroots organizers. Her support is a coveted wildcard.

ANYTHING COULD HAPPEN

Scenario One — McGreevey Wins: If O’Dea’s organization aligns with McGreevey and Watterman remains neutral, McGreevey’s comeback story could culminate in victory through disciplined voter turnout and centrist consolidation.

Scenario Two — Solomon Wins: Should Ali and Watterman side with Solomon, the runoff becomes a referendum on reform, ethics, and generational change. The progressive base could expand into a majority coalition.

Scenario Three — A Split Decision: If O’Dea and Ali each mobilize their followers independently — or pursue local alliance deals — the runoff could hinge on a few thousand votes. In that case, Jersey City might see one of the tightest finishes in its modern political history.

Whatever the outcome, during these three weeks of campaigning, the “losers” of the primary may soon prove they are anything but powerless.